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Red76
394418.3
970410.7
240356.8
Blue36
101110.6
90917.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1064801502007636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
56Total teleop9
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points12
76Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.7
51.050.3
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End6.7
red by 46.2
1011
#13
10.61.4
12.611.2
Auto1.5
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Second
3944
#12
18.30.8
20.720.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End1.0
red by 10.6
9091
#29
7.71.4
11.910.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Third
9704
#15
10.70.7
12.011.3
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 9.0
1.713.8
1.715.4
Auto2.1
Teleop-2.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed