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Red44
9059B11.0
498C38.6
6987.2
Blue70
2486B10.4
991B8.8
1050624.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665501001504470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+8
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
33Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points18
44Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.615.0
45.330.3
Auto3.2
Teleop32.1
End3.3
red by 13.7
24.90.1
25.825.9
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End1.3
Second
11.04.9
13.78.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End1.2
red by 0.6
10.40.1
12.212.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
698
#30
7.20.9
15.114.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End0.2
blue by 1.6
991B
#22
8.80.1
13.113.2
Auto1.1
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed