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Red93
498C45.3
240358.0
394422.9
Blue120
248637.0
418330.8
116548.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135121608010016018020093120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+47
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +33
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
57Total teleop90
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
93Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.00.8
58.758.0
Auto10.9
Teleop39.3
End7.7
red by 9.0
48.90.1
48.948.9
Auto12.4
Teleop36.8
End-0.3
Second
45.30.8
46.145.3
Auto6.0
Teleop33.7
End5.6
red by 8.2
37.00.1
37.037.0
Auto11.5
Teleop23.1
End2.4
Third
3944
#23
22.90.8
23.722.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.2
End1.9
blue by 7.9
4183
#21
30.80.1
30.730.8
Auto3.6
Teleop25.1
End2.1