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Red40
991B12.6
99614.2
2486B10.3
Blue33
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4221060801001201404033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +8
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
22Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points12
40Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
996
#16
14.20.1
11.011.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End2.0
red by 6.0
8.20.2
5.35.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End2.4
Second
991B
#26
12.60.1
8.88.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End1.5
red by 5.2
9091
#31
7.30.1
7.77.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End0.8
Third
10.30.1
10.410.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End2.3
red by 8.6
1.70.2
1.71.5
Auto2.5
Teleop-3.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed