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Red101
635233.2
99114.2
418330.8
Blue83
991B12.6
10119.9
970413.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983905015020010183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
69Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
101Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.0
25.626.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.1
End8.7
red by 19.6
9704
#27
13.62.6
8.310.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Second
4183
#21
30.81.0
29.030.0
Auto3.6
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 18.2
991B
#26
12.62.6
8.911.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End1.5
Third
991
#9
14.21.0
13.814.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.3
End1.6
red by 4.2
1011
#18
9.92.6
10.813.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed