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Red46
1098814.6
970413.6
1165B11.9
Blue40
26627.7
991B12.6
905913.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433201001502002504640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points13
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
33Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
46Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.9
11.512.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 0.8
9059
#28
13.70.2
11.811.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Second
9704
#27
13.60.6
10.811.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.7
red by 1.0
991B
#26
12.60.2
11.411.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End1.5
Third
11.91.1
13.915.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.3
red by 4.2
2662
#25
7.70.2
8.48.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed