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Red66
248637.0
456510.1
905913.7
Blue46
247830.6
1025615.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594802040801001201406646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+34Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
7Coral scored#3
26Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
44Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
66Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.8
32.433.1
Auto11.5
Teleop23.1
End2.4
red by 6.5
2478
#12
30.60.1
32.632.5
Auto4.4
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Second
9059
#28
13.70.8
13.013.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End2.0
blue by 1.3
15.10.1
13.313.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Third
4565
#32DQ
10.10.8
9.310.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.8
red by 8.4
1.70.1
1.81.7
Auto2.5
Teleop-3.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned