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Red35
247830.6
1165B11.9
635233.2
Blue100
116548.9
9059B13.7
1050622.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977805015020035100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+57
Endgame+47
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +54
4Coral scored#13
15Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
15Total teleop69
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points18
35Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.23.7
29.325.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.1
End8.7
blue by 15.7
48.90.2
42.642.8
Auto12.4
Teleop36.8
End-0.3
Second
2478
#12
30.63.7
39.435.7
Auto4.4
Teleop23.3
End2.9
red by 7.8
22.70.2
24.925.1
Auto2.9
Teleop18.6
End1.2
Third
11.93.3
11.915.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 1.8
13.70.4
11.011.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsEarned