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Red20
970413.6
26627.7
6986.6
Blue92
99614.2
116548.9
775511.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21790501001502092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+70
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points33
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +46
1Coral scored#8
5Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
0Processor points6
4Net points20
4Algae points26
9Total teleop55
Reef
0L4#4
1L3#5
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
2Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
20Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9704
#27
13.60.7
14.213.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.7
blue by 35.4
48.91.7
43.345.0
Auto12.4
Teleop36.8
End-0.3
Second
2662
#25
7.70.7
8.37.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.9
blue by 6.6
996
#16
14.21.7
13.415.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Third
698
#13
6.60.7
7.36.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End0.8
blue by 5.0
7755
#24
11.61.7
9.911.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed