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Red47
647924.0
6986.6
1050622.7
Blue32
90917.3
1098814.6
456510.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7323040601001201401604732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +30
7Coral scored#1
24Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
34Total teleop4
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
47Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.8
26.125.3
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End0.7
red by 9.5
14.60.0
11.411.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Second
22.70.8
25.124.3
Auto2.9
Teleop18.6
End1.2
red by 12.7
4565
#32DQ
10.10.0
6.66.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.8
Third
698
#13
6.60.8
8.47.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End0.8
blue by 0.7
9091
#31
7.30.0
7.67.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed