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Red31
99614.2
247830.6
647924.0
Blue116
635233.2
1025615.1
414631.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7982020406010012014016031116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+69
Endgame+79
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +65
3Coral scored#13
11Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
0Processor points12
4Net points20
4Algae points32
15Total teleop80
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points6
31Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#12
30.60.9
31.530.6
Auto4.4
Teleop23.3
End2.9
blue by 2.6
33.20.8
32.032.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Second
24.00.9
24.924.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End0.7
blue by 7.2
4146
#14
31.20.8
30.030.8
Auto4.9
Teleop24.6
End1.7
Third
996
#16
14.20.9
15.114.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 0.9
15.10.8
13.914.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.9