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Qual 202025 BattleCry at WPI
Red158
115527.1
632462.2
964238.3
Blue156
237057.8
23836.1
404839.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155154120140160180158156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points17
29Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +3
25Coral scored#21
89Coral points76
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
117Total teleop114
Reef
9L4#8
10L3#6
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points8
158Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#15
62.21.0
56.6→57.6
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
red by 4.4
2370
#49
57.80.2
61.1→61.3
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
Second
9642
#43
38.31.0
44.7→45.6
Auto9.1
Teleop24.2
End5.0
blue by 1.1
4048
#26
39.40.2
39.9→40.1
Auto8.3
Teleop23.1
End8.0
Third
1155
#52
27.11.0
30.7→31.7
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.5
blue by 9.0
238
#12
36.10.2
32.8→33.0
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed