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Red176
740784.3
17527.2
127735.5
Blue134
110040.7
173533.7
490957.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159156100120140180200176134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +17
21Coral scored#21
76Coral points75
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
24Processor points12
16Net points12
40Algae points24
116Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#11
8L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
176Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#11Sur
84.31.4
83.785.1
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
red by 26.4
4909
#53
57.91.1
60.759.6
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
Second
35.51.4
32.433.7
Auto5.3
Teleop19.7
End10.5
blue by 5.3
1100
#30Sur
40.71.1
52.751.6
Auto8.7
Teleop27.5
End4.6
Third
175
#33
27.21.4
28.329.7
Auto5.1
Teleop19.4
End2.7
blue by 6.5
1735
#35
33.71.1
25.824.7
Auto2.4
Teleop25.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned