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Red206
694106.6
1006326.1
7865.8
Blue102
15136.9
854427.6
159145.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216103050150200250300206102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+72Teleop
+104Endgame
+104Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
3Leave6
11Coral scored#3
55Coral points14
58Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +34
22Coral scored#18
80Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
112Total teleop78
Reef
13L4#8
10L3#7
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#24
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +104
0Foul points0
206Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
106.60.8
97.998.7
Auto26.3
Teleop65.3
End15.0
red by 61.1
1591
#42
45.50.8
48.848.0
Auto12.7
Teleop28.1
End4.7
Second
78
#6
65.80.8
60.761.5
Auto19.1
Teleop36.4
End10.3
red by 28.9
151
#50
36.90.8
28.928.1
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8
Third
26.10.8
23.524.4
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End3.4
blue by 1.5
8544
#34
27.60.8
24.924.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed