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Red167
346760.9
490957.9
4847.8
Blue199
234249.3
694106.6
207929.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182199120140160220240260167199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+38
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave6
5Coral scored#12
24Coral points59
30Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +3
18Coral scored#17
65Coral points62
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
24Processor points18
12Net points24
36Algae points42
101Total teleop104
Reef
11L4#8
5L3#11
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
167Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#21
60.90.4
58.959.2
Auto13.0
Teleop38.1
End9.8
blue by 45.7
694
#3
106.61.2
98.799.9
Auto26.3
Teleop65.3
End15.0
Second
4909
#53
57.90.4
59.660.0
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
red by 8.6
49.31.2
54.255.4
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
Third
48
#48
47.80.4
42.643.0
Auto8.9
Teleop31.9
End7.1
red by 18.3
2079
#36
29.61.2
22.423.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned