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Red121
457520.3
110040.7
632874.0
Blue153
346760.9
15136.9
175741.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177150050100200250300121153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
67Total teleop95
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#7
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points14
121Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#40
74.03.2
71.067.8
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
red by 13.1
3467
#21
60.90.8
62.962.1
Auto13.0
Teleop38.1
End9.8
Second
1100
#30
40.73.2
58.755.6
Auto8.7
Teleop27.5
End4.6
blue by 0.4
1757
#46
41.20.8
40.739.8
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
Third
4575
#56
20.33.2
26.823.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
blue by 16.6
151
#50
36.90.8
33.132.3
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed