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Red113
279131.9
107351.0
870844.0
Blue109
4847.8
287761.3
17731.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13818450100150200250113109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points37
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +6
17Coral scored#13
62Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
76Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#7
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
113Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#19
51.01.7
49.247.5
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
blue by 10.3
2877
#32
61.34.3
74.269.9
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
Second
8708
#18
44.01.7
44.342.6
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
blue by 3.8
48
#48
47.84.3
45.541.3
Auto8.9
Teleop31.9
End7.1
Third
2791
#38
31.91.7
37.035.3
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7
red by 0.8
177
#59
31.14.3
44.640.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsMissed