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Red221
107351.0
632462.2
17731.1
Blue177
808541.1
431139.4
740784.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130186050100150200250300221177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+26Teleop
+48Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave0
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points33
48Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +11
27Coral scored#28
97Coral points102
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
135Total teleop124
Reef
10L4#15
11L3#10
10L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#40
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +44
2Foul points6
221Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#15
62.21.5
60.161.5
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
blue by 22.2
7407
#11
84.30.3
84.684.3
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
Second
1073
#19
51.01.5
48.950.4
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
red by 9.9
41.10.3
41.441.1
Auto4.5
Teleop30.3
End6.3
Third
177
#59
31.11.5
29.130.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End6.8
blue by 8.3
4311
#41
39.40.3
39.739.4
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0