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Red170
107351.0
632462.2
17731.1
Blue203
179680.7
15136.9
568773.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121207050100150250300350170203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+27
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
7Coral scored#12
35Coral points62
44Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +18
17Coral scored#23
60Coral points84
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
18Processor points12
24Net points24
42Algae points36
102Total teleop120
Reef
9L4#15
8L3#10
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#43
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points6
170Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#15
62.20.6
61.562.2
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
blue by 18.5
80.70.2
80.480.5
Auto22.0
Teleop47.2
End11.5
Second
1073
#19
51.00.6
50.451.0
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
blue by 22.3
5687
#37
73.20.2
73.073.1
Auto22.2
Teleop44.8
End6.3
Third
177
#59
31.10.6
30.531.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End6.8
blue by 5.8
151
#50
36.90.2
36.736.9
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8