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Red235
8887.0
4847.8
176880.2
Blue187
179680.7
17527.2
568773.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218196150250300235187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+24Teleop
+46Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
11Coral scored#12
56Coral points61
65Total auto61
TeleoperatedRed +20
29Coral scored#26
106Coral points92
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
12Processor points6
24Net points24
36Algae points30
142Total teleop122
Reef
11L4#13
16L3#11
8L2#10
5L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#45
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +48
2Foul points0
235Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
87.00.4
86.687.0
Auto19.9
Teleop56.0
End11.2
red by 6.3
80.70.1
80.580.7
Auto22.0
Teleop47.2
End11.5
Second
80.20.4
79.880.2
Auto23.9
Teleop46.3
End9.9
red by 7.0
5687
#37
73.20.1
73.173.2
Auto22.2
Teleop44.8
End6.3
Third
48
#48
47.80.4
47.447.8
Auto8.9
Teleop31.9
End7.1
red by 20.7
175
#33
27.20.1
27.027.2
Auto5.1
Teleop19.4
End2.7