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Red78
618811.2
399041.0
69029.6
Blue12
71678.9
1042710.4
964914.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693902060801007812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +41
9Coral scored#1
33Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
43Total teleop2
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#2
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
8Foul points0
78Total score12

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.6
38.439.9
Auto9.2
Teleop26.2
End5.6
red by 26.1
9649
#29
14.92.7
16.513.7
Auto1.6
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Second
6188
#32
11.21.6
10.612.2
Auto1.4
Teleop8.5
End1.3
red by 0.8
10.42.7
8.35.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Third
6902
#47
9.61.6
6.88.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
red by 0.8
7167
#39
8.92.7
11.99.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed