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Red12
904723.3
96753.4
827610.9
Blue58
911017.2
948614.1
948728.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586402040801001201401601258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+44
Endgame+48
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +38
2Coral scored#7
8Coral points26
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
8Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#1
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points0
12Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9047
#11
23.35.1
19.914.7
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End0.6
blue by 4.8
9487
#15
28.20.4
18.718.3
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End0.3
Second
8276
#54
10.95.1
18.012.9
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 6.3
9110
#24
17.20.4
17.717.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Third
9675
#56
3.45.1
13.18.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.6
End0.2
blue by 10.7
9486
#33
14.10.4
18.918.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed