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Red43
905020.9
960316.6
921812.9
Blue49
90458.2
1035619.7
946123.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514610203040607080904349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
43Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9050
#13
20.91.4
17.416.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
blue by 2.6
9461
#25
23.60.7
19.618.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End4.1
Second
9603
#38
16.61.4
20.619.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
blue by 3.1
19.70.7
14.313.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
9218
#37
12.91.4
7.66.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 4.7
9045
#55
8.20.7
9.28.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed