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Red34
96149.0
90458.2
640410.0
Blue56
1020014.5
965712.0
911017.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336002040801003456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+10
Endgame+14
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
26Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points8
34Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6404
#58
10.00.5
12.311.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.5
blue by 7.3
9110
#24
17.20.5
17.316.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Second
9614
#45
9.00.5
9.69.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 5.5
14.50.5
14.714.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End1.5
Third
9045
#55
8.20.5
8.88.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 3.8
9657
#26
12.00.5
11.811.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed