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Red80
905020.9
921919.1
1001925.2
Blue78
756532.7
961112.0
888229.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6986204060801001201408078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+8Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
58Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points6
80Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.4
25.025.3
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End1.4
blue by 7.6
32.70.2
32.932.7
Auto5.8
Teleop21.6
End5.2
Second
9050
#13
20.90.4
20.721.1
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
blue by 8.8
29.70.2
29.929.7
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End4.0
Third
9219
#18
19.10.4
18.919.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End1.2
red by 7.1
9611
#46
12.00.2
12.212.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2