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Red150
115658.1
917515.6
756349.6
Blue104
919944.0
756742.0
1029116.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136107150200150104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+32Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +29
20Coral scored#10
73Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
97Total teleop68
Reef
9L4#7
8L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
150Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.5
57.658.1
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
red by 14.1
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
Second
49.60.5
49.149.6
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 7.6
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto12.8
Teleop27.2
End2.0
Third
9175
#27
15.60.5
15.115.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 1.3
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto2.0
Teleop12.3
End2.7