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Red102
888229.0
756742.0
703330.4
Blue110
1029813.2
115658.1
946120.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108800200300400500600700800102110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#15
59Coral points55
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
73Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#8
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
102Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.7
36.236.8
Auto12.8
Teleop27.2
End2.0
blue by 16.1
58.13.2
32.535.7
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
Second
7033
#14
30.40.7
26.427.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 9.5
9461
#16
20.93.2
23.626.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Third
8882
#29
29.00.7
29.730.4
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
red by 15.8
13.28.3
13.221.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned