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Red105
756742.0
756545.0
960213.3
Blue113
186031.3
888229.0
919944.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941056080100120140105113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +7
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
0Processor points12
16Net points8
16Algae points20
73Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points14
105Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.01.4
34.636.0
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
red by 1.0
44.00.1
37.737.9
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
Second
42.01.4
36.838.2
Auto12.8
Teleop27.2
End2.0
red by 10.7
31.30.1
29.429.5
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End2.9
Third
9602
#25
13.31.7
18.119.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
blue by 15.7
8882
#29
29.00.1
30.430.5
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned