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Red70
1029813.2
888229.0
1029526.4
Blue93
919944.0
916923.3
917515.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72890204060801001201407093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
45Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
70Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8882
#29
29.00.5
30.531.0
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
blue by 15.0
44.01.4
37.939.3
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
Second
26.40.7
16.317.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End9.5
red by 3.1
9169
#13
23.31.4
22.423.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End7.6
Third
13.20.7
16.817.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End2.5
blue by 2.4
9175
#27
15.61.4
15.316.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned