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Red40
960213.3
946025.8
177210.9
Blue67
640411.4
948434.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5962404550556570754067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+21
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
28Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points6
40Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.2
22.120.9
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
blue by 8.9
34.80.5
28.128.6
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
Second
9602
#25
13.31.6
19.818.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
red by 1.9
6404
#24
11.40.5
10.611.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Third
1772
#31
10.91.2
12.511.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End2.8
red by 3.5
7.50.6
16.717.3
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed