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Red90
916923.3
1026324.1
1048321.6
Blue105
916821.7
948434.8
911022.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738105010015020025090105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points14
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
55Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
90Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.11.9
18.820.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 10.6
34.81.8
27.129.0
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
Second
9169
#13
23.31.1
25.526.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End7.6
red by 1.2
9110
#10
22.11.8
18.520.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Third
21.61.9
17.719.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End4.3
blue by 0.1
9168
#15
21.73.0
20.823.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed