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Red120
1029610.1
115658.1
827618.0
Blue88
946120.9
888229.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896940608010012014016012088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+20Teleop
+34Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
68Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points8
120Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.11.8
48.350.1
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
red by 29.1
8882
#29
29.00.2
32.833.0
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
Second
8276
#26
18.01.8
15.917.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 2.9
9461
#16
20.90.2
24.124.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Third
10.12.7
13.015.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End3.2
red by 1.9
8.20.3
8.58.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed