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Red56
916923.3
703330.4
Blue97
745915.4
1026324.1
888229.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777740506070901001105697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+19
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
40Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points22
56Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7033
#14
30.40.6
30.730.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 1.3
8882
#29
29.00.5
31.231.7
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
Second
9169
#13
23.30.6
26.225.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End7.6
blue by 0.9
24.10.6
21.021.6
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Third
7.50.8
8.67.8
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End-1.3
blue by 7.9
7459
#19
15.40.5
15.115.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed