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Red105
756545.0
948434.8
960213.3
Blue116
703330.4
911022.1
916821.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10780204060120140160180105116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
69Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points12
105Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.00.2
45.145.0
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
red by 14.6
7033
#14
30.40.3
30.530.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
34.80.2
34.934.8
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
red by 12.7
9110
#10
22.10.3
22.222.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Third
9602
#25
13.30.2
13.513.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
blue by 8.3
9168
#15
21.70.3
21.822.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End1.5