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Red105
756545.0
948434.8
960213.3
Blue41
703330.4
911022.1
916821.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10484406012014016018010541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+62Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +51
13Coral scored#3
48Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
66Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#1
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
105Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.00.3
44.344.6
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
red by 14.6
7033
#14
30.40.8
31.330.5
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
34.80.3
34.134.4
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
red by 12.7
9110
#10
22.10.8
23.022.2
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Third
9602
#25
13.30.3
12.713.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
blue by 8.3
9168
#15
21.70.8
22.621.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End1.5