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Red22
99995.0
927726.7
61888.1
Blue48
999112.2
486215.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342102030506070802248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+14
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +12
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop12
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
6Foul points18
22Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.6
32.029.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
red by 11.6
15.11.1
18.917.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
Second
6188
#13
8.13.1
11.28.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 4.1
12.21.5
11.09.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Third
9999
#11
5.04.3
11.06.8
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 2.6
7.51.2
13.812.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed