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Red180
29457.2
770954.9
704240.6
Blue139
263741.1
760713.6
254351.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1419950200250180139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+43Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +35
26Coral scored#17
94Coral points61
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
18Processor points24
24Net points16
42Algae points40
136Total teleop101
Reef
14L4#8
9L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
180Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#8
57.22.7
48.751.5
Auto10.8
Teleop43.8
End2.6
red by 5.9
51.32.1
49.451.5
Auto4.1
Teleop36.6
End10.5
Second
7709
#13
54.92.7
44.647.4
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
red by 13.8
41.12.1
28.730.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
Third
7042
#11
40.62.7
28.731.5
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
red by 27.0
7607
#37
13.62.1
14.716.7
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned