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Red77
395226.9
340826.7
583524.5
Blue164
412353.9
258438.6
519969.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7717305010015020025077164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+55
Endgame+79
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +41
10Coral scored#18
35Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
61Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#11
3L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points8
77Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3952
#26
26.90.1
28.828.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.4
End5.5
blue by 42.8
5199
#19
69.70.3
65.866.1
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
Second
3408
#27
26.70.2
29.329.1
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End1.4
blue by 27.1
4123
#16
53.90.3
49.049.3
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
Third
5835
#29
24.50.1
21.020.8
Auto6.3
Teleop16.8
End1.4
blue by 14.0
2584
#32
38.60.3
36.636.9
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned