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Red134
501239.8
704240.6
254351.3
Blue113
583524.5
441949.9
607226.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15311150100200134113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
98Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#9
7L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
8Foul points0
134Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.31.1
51.550.4
Auto4.1
Teleop36.6
End10.5
red by 1.4
4419
#12
49.90.1
49.149.2
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
Second
7042
#11
40.61.1
41.139.9
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
red by 13.7
6072
#23
26.90.1
26.826.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Third
5012
#21
39.81.1
39.238.0
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
red by 15.3
5835
#29
24.50.1
24.524.5
Auto6.3
Teleop16.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed