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Red180
347659.1
501239.8
656053.7
Blue171
366944.2
715750.3
263741.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156130100200180171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points38
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +18
25Coral scored#25
89Coral points91
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
12Processor points12
28Net points8
40Algae points20
129Total teleop111
Reef
9L4#13
9L3#11
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points0
180Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.7
57.358.0
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End7.3
red by 8.7
7157
#10
50.31.0
47.748.7
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Second
53.70.7
51.952.6
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
red by 9.5
3669
#15
44.21.0
41.642.6
Auto8.7
Teleop29.2
End6.3
Third
5012
#21
39.80.7
38.038.7
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
blue by 1.3
41.11.0
38.539.5
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1