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Red130
704240.6
258438.6
441949.9
Blue97
770954.9
1021334.7
170025.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140123608010016018020013097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+19Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#16
48Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
84Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +33
14Foul points0
130Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#12
49.90.3
49.749.4
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
blue by 5.0
7709
#13
54.90.4
55.354.9
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
Second
7042
#11
40.60.3
40.440.1
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
red by 5.9
34.70.5
35.234.7
Auto7.5
Teleop24.7
End2.4
Third
2584
#32
38.60.3
38.438.1
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5
red by 13.3
1700
#14
25.20.4
25.725.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End3.4