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Red95
801632.3
804521.6
214124.7
Blue66
903848.3
1024619.6
425516.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658802040801001201409566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+13Teleop
+27Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points18
16Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +21
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
57Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points4
95Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8016
#38
32.31.4
28.129.5
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End2.3
blue by 15.9
9038
#29
48.31.5
41.540.0
Auto14.5
Teleop32.4
End1.3
Second
2141
#27
24.72.3
18.620.8
Auto6.8
Teleop16.7
End1.3
red by 5.1
19.62.6
17.715.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Third
8045
#46
21.62.3
15.818.0
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End2.6
red by 5.6
4255
#49
16.01.7
20.719.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed