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Red116
97819.8
517144.8
58928.9
Blue159
550764.3
681431.7
418626.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8312650100150200116159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+41
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points21
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
67Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
6Foul points6
116Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#13
44.81.8
38.640.4
Auto10.9
Teleop26.8
End7.1
blue by 19.5
64.32.7
48.551.2
Auto19.3
Teleop37.1
End7.9
Second
589
#40
28.91.8
28.630.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End7.8
blue by 2.8
6814
#41
31.72.7
30.232.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.3
End1.3
Third
9781
#42
9.83.0
10.613.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 16.3
4186
#35
26.12.7
28.330.9
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned