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Red53
804521.6
598519.9
1033915.8
Blue155
25322.4
97258.5
64933.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010005015020053155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+86
Endgame+94
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +65
7Coral scored#17
24Coral points61
0Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
0Processor points24
8Net points12
8Algae points36
32Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#8
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
6Foul points14
53Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8045
#46
21.62.0
20.918.9
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End2.6
blue by 36.9
972
#4
58.53.3
45.448.6
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Second
5985
#50
19.91.2
19.117.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.4
blue by 13.3
649
#31
33.23.3
26.730.0
Auto8.5
Teleop22.5
End2.2
Third
15.81.2
19.318.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 6.6
253
#25
22.43.3
14.317.6
Auto3.0
Teleop16.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned