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Red115
476533.7
220441.0
879338.4
Blue145
285431.2
803377.4
186835.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10714250150200115145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+24
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
18Coral scored#18
63Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
85Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#7
3L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
115Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2204
#36
41.00.0
35.735.7
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
blue by 36.4
77.40.3
68.068.3
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
Second
8793
#26
38.40.0
31.231.2
Auto11.6
Teleop22.6
End4.2
red by 2.9
1868
#11
35.50.3
35.035.3
Auto10.4
Teleop20.8
End4.3
Third
4765
#37
33.70.0
36.536.6
Auto3.2
Teleop28.9
End1.6
red by 2.5
2854
#21
31.20.3
26.426.7
Auto6.2
Teleop22.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned