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Red130
1025218.9
1033915.8
947049.1
Blue137
220441.0
641848.4
698530.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74130050100150200130137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave6
3Coral scored#9
17Coral points45
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +33
21Coral scored#12
75Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
103Total teleop70
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points2
130Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9470
#16
49.13.8
43.247.0
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End0.6
red by 0.7
6418
#12
48.41.5
46.848.3
Auto14.7
Teleop33.5
End0.1
Second
18.93.8
15.319.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End1.6
blue by 22.1
2204
#36
41.01.5
36.938.3
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
Third
15.83.8
12.816.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 15.1
6985
#28
30.91.5
29.430.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned