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Red139
903848.3
885251.1
598519.9
Blue121
541962.7
1022112.2
285431.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135107406080120160180200139121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+37Auto
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +37
6Leave9
8Coral scored#0
40Coral points0
46Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
71Total teleop86
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
18Foul points12
139Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8852
#33
51.10.1
51.551.6
Auto13.4
Teleop37.5
End0.2
blue by 11.6
62.70.5
58.859.3
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End8.8
Second
9038
#29
48.30.1
48.748.8
Auto14.5
Teleop32.4
End1.3
red by 17.1
2854
#21
31.20.5
30.731.2
Auto6.2
Teleop22.7
End2.3
Third
5985
#50
19.90.1
19.919.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 7.7
12.20.8
11.412.2
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned