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Red85
885251.1
605925.9
903848.3
Blue141
348249.8
466930.2
947049.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371345010015020025085141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+60
Endgame+62
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points26
28Total auto35
TeleoperatedBlue +53
10Coral scored#18
35Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
49Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +56
6Foul points0
85Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8852
#33
51.11.1
52.251.1
Auto13.4
Teleop37.5
End0.2
red by 1.3
3482
#14
49.80.3
48.949.2
Auto12.8
Teleop35.8
End1.3
Second
9038
#29
48.31.1
49.448.3
Auto14.5
Teleop32.4
End1.3
blue by 0.8
9470
#16
49.10.3
48.248.5
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End0.6
Third
6059
#10
25.91.1
27.025.9
Auto5.2
Teleop18.9
End1.8
blue by 4.3
30.20.3
29.329.6
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End2.0