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Qual 292025 Beach Blitz presented by the Gene Haas Foundation
Red86
699585.1
852122.0
265942.1
Blue94
325556.4
622020.3
330941.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162116501002002503008694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +34
5Coral scored#12
18Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
28Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
8Foul points0
86Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#11
85.14.7
75.3→70.6
Auto18.8
Teleop56.2
End10.1
red by 28.6
3255
#24
56.41.4
49.9→48.5
Auto7.3
Teleop42.9
End6.3
Second
2659
#28
42.14.7
42.3→37.6
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End1.7
red by 0.8
3309
#20
41.31.4
45.2→43.8
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End6.8
Third
8521
#37
22.04.7
31.0→26.3
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End0.1
red by 1.7
6220
#38
20.31.4
20.2→18.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned