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Red179
59953.3
407924.7
473881.2
Blue136
441572.5
265942.1
312857.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571850100300400500179136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave3
8Coral scored#4
39Coral points20
48Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +20
21Coral scored#18
77Coral points65
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
115Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#6
9L3#8
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points2
179Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.21.9
74.476.2
Auto24.6
Teleop45.5
End11.2
red by 8.7
4415
#17
72.52.5
80.077.5
Auto14.3
Teleop49.8
End8.4
Second
599
#29
53.31.9
49.050.9
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End0.7
blue by 4.6
3128
#10
57.92.5
50.347.9
Auto8.8
Teleop38.2
End10.8
Third
4079
#36
24.71.9
24.926.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End2.6
blue by 17.4
2659
#28
42.12.5
37.635.1
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned